Scottish League Cup | Group Stage

Jul 23, 2022 at 3pm UK

Borough Briggs

Elgin
0 - 2
QotS

Mailer (10'), Cameron (45+2'), Lawrence (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McKechnie (50'), Paton (54')
Murray (9'), McKay (35')

Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Elgin City and Queen of the South.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elgin City

Last Six:

Last Game: Elgin 2-4 St Johnstone
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	East Fife	0	0	0
6	Elgin City	0	0	0
7	Forfar Athletic	0	0	0

Queen of the South

Last Six:

Last Game: QotS 2-2 St Johnstone (4-2 pen.)
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Montrose	0	0	0
9	Peterhead	0	0	0
10	Queen of the South	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.5%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.

Result
Elgin City	Draw	Queen of the South
34.25% ( 0.08)	23.85%	41.89% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 61.5% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.38% (

0.02)

40.62% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37% (

0.03)

63% (

-0.02)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.55% (

0.05)

23.45% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.54% (

0.08)

57.46% (

-0.08)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.34% (

-0.02)

19.66% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.36% (

-0.04)

51.64% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Elgin City 34.25%

Queen of the South 41.9%

Draw 23.85%

Elgin City	Draw	Queen of the South
2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 34.25%	1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.85%	1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 41.9%