Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Elgin City	Draw	Dumbarton
45.44% ( 0.14)	24.43% ( -0.03)	30.13% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 57.67% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.12% (

0.07)

44.88% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.76% (

0.07)

67.23% (

-0.07)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.13% (

0.09)

19.87% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.02% (

0.14)

51.98% (

-0.15)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.97% (

-0.04)

28.03% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.32% (

-0.05)

63.68% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Elgin City 45.44%

Dumbarton 30.13%

Draw 24.42%

Elgin City	Draw	Dumbarton
2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 45.44%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.42%	1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.13%