Scottish League Two | Gameweek 7

Sep 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stair Park

Stranraer
3 - 2
Dumbarton

Hilton (50'), Grant (71'), Woods (89' pen.)
Forrest (21'), Eze (41'), Ross (42'), Watt (80'), Ellis (90+1')
Forrest (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McNiff (75'), McKee (86' pen.)
Buchanan (38'), Wallace (61')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Stranraer and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.

Result
Stranraer	Draw	Dumbarton
38.67% ( 0.01)	25.82% ( 0.02)	35.5% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 54.78% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.56% (

-0.11)

49.43% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.52% (

-0.09)

71.47% (

0.09)

Stranraer Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.91% (

-0.04)

25.08% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.22% (

-0.06)

59.77% (

0.05)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.13% (

-0.07)

26.87% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.81% (

-0.09)

62.18% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Stranraer 38.67%

Dumbarton 35.5%

Draw 25.82%

Stranraer	Draw	Dumbarton
1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.67%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 35.5%