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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Heerenveen

Almere City
1 - 1
Heerenveen

Hansen (47')
Resink (77'), Cathline (87')
Koopmeiners (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sahraoui (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 3-1 Almere City
Wednesday, April 24 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-8 PSV
Thursday, April 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 2-1 Heerenveen

Both teams are fighting to return to winning ways on Friday, but the visitors should be particularly wounded from last week's beating, and we envisage them falling short in a result which would see the two sides move level on points with two games left to play. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Almere CityDrawHeerenveen
28% (0.427 0.43) 23.66% (0.217 0.22) 48.34% (-0.645 -0.64)
Both teams to score 58.89% (-0.40799999999999 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.37% (-0.69 -0.69)42.63% (0.69 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.96% (-0.692 -0.69)65.04% (0.691 0.69)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.64% (-0.050999999999988 -0.05)28.35% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)64.09% (0.062999999999988 0.06)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.19% (-0.509 -0.51)17.81% (0.509 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.47% (-0.887 -0.89)48.53% (0.888 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 28%
    Heerenveen 48.34%
    Draw 23.66%
Almere CityDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 6.92% (0.078 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.36% (0.184 0.18)
2-0 @ 4.01% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.69% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 28%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.05% (0.153 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 9.48% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.122 0.12)
0-2 @ 7.52% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-4 @ 2.35% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.87% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 48.34%

How you voted: Almere City vs Heerenveen

Almere City
52.2%
Draw
17.4%
Heerenveen
30.4%
46
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 14
Heerenveen
3-0
Almere City
Van Amersfoort (15', 70'), Van Beek (40')
Haye (68')

Royo (39'), van Bruggen (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2Feyenoord1384131131828
3FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
4Ajax1182125111426
5FC Twente1264224111322
6Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
7AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
8Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
9NECNijmegen125161910916
10Willem II124351312115
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14Groningen123361219-712
15PEC Zwolle123361422-812
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


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