MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 11:54:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
Apr 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Excelsior

Ajax
2 - 2
Excelsior

Rensch (27'), Akpom (89')
Tahirovic (68'), Benita (73')
Bergwijn (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Baas (38' pen.), Lamprou (53')
Horemans (67'), Gaaei (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-1 FC Twente
Sunday, April 14 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Excelsior 4-0 Volendam
Friday, April 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-0 SBV Excelsior

 Although Ajax have been inconsistent over a prolonged period of time, the manner of their success over Twente has the potential to flick a switch. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to secure another welcome win on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 78%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 9.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 3-0 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.07%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawSBV Excelsior
78% (2.542 2.54) 12.65% (-1.322 -1.32) 9.34% (-1.2191 -1.22)
Both teams to score 62.29% (1.078 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.62% (3.137 3.14)21.38% (-3.136 -3.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.96% (4.249 4.25)40.03% (-4.248 -4.25)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.57% (1.027 1.03)4.42% (-1.026 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.79% (3.09 3.09)18.21% (-3.089 -3.09)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.16% (0.43000000000001 0.43)34.83% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.43% (0.451 0.45)71.56% (-0.449 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 78%
    SBV Excelsior 9.34%
    Draw 12.65%
AjaxDrawSBV Excelsior
3-1 @ 8.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.579 -0.58)
3-0 @ 7.79% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.643 -0.64)
4-1 @ 6.4% (0.419 0.42)
4-0 @ 6.07% (0.331 0.33)
1-0 @ 4.8% (-0.787 -0.79)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.044 0.04)
5-1 @ 3.99% (0.512 0.51)
5-0 @ 3.79% (0.445 0.45)
4-2 @ 3.38% (0.257 0.26)
5-2 @ 2.11% (0.291 0.29)
6-1 @ 2.08% (0.387 0.39)
6-0 @ 1.97% (0.348 0.35)
4-3 @ 1.19% (0.103 0.1)
6-2 @ 1.1% (0.215 0.22)
7-1 @ 0.93% (0.223 0.22)
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 78%
1-1 @ 5.07% (-0.761 -0.76)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.254 -0.25)
0-0 @ 1.54% (-0.38 -0.38)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 12.65%
1-2 @ 2.67% (-0.366 -0.37)
0-1 @ 1.62% (-0.378 -0.38)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 9.34%

How you voted: Ajax vs Excelsior

Ajax
90.9%
Draw
4.5%
SBV Excelsior
4.5%
44
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
Excelsior
2-2
Ajax
Horemans (45+1'), Agrafiotis (48')
Brobbey (25'), Klaassen (72')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 19
Excelsior
1-4
Ajax
El Yaakoubi (36')
Tadic (15' pen.), Klaassen (45'), Kudus (61'), Rensch (83')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 10
Ajax
7-1
Excelsior
Sanchez (15'), Berghuis (26'), Brobbey (44', 59'), Tadic (65'), Bergwijn (75'), Kudus (81')
Agrafiotis (90')
> Preview
Apr 13, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Ajax
6-2
Excelsior
Huntelaar (10', 40', 65'), Tadic (37', 60' pen.), Dolberg (75')
Mazraoui (4'), Ekkelenkamp (84')
El Hamdaoui (42'), Fortes (89')
Fortes (32'), Koolwijk (43'), El Hamdaoui (49')
Nov 11, 2018 1.30pm
Gameweek 12
Excelsior
1-7
Ajax
Messaoud (52')
Fortes (25'), Haspolat (25'), Matthys (43')
Van de Beek (31', 48'), Schone (44'), Dolberg (58'), Schouten (71' og.), Ziyech (79'), Neres (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV23164371264552
2Ajax21163245182751
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2312744236643
4Feyenoord22117446262040
5AZ AlkmaarAZ22124638211740
6FC Twente21106544301436
7Go Ahead Eagles2210574034635
8Groningen2376102232-1027
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2383122641-1527
10Fortuna SittardSittard2275102940-1126
11Heerenveen2275102641-1526
12NECNijmegen2173113230224
13PEC Zwolle2266102634-824
14Willem II2366112634-824
15Heracles225982839-1124
16Sparta RotterdamSparta2348111933-1420
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2245133145-1417
18Almere CityAlmere City2134141243-3113
> Eredivisie Full Table


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