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Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Ajax

Sparta
2 - 2
Ajax

Verschueren (28', 47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Akpom (65'), Bergwijn (88')
Taylor (89')
Kaplan (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 2-1 Sparta
Saturday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-0 Ajax
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-3 Ajax

Having watched the manner of Ajax's performance against Villa, Sparta will fancy their chances of inflicting more misery on the fallen giants. However, Van't Schip may now realise that their recent switch in formation is not sustainable, and we are expecting Ajax to get back on track with a thrilling win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 38.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.07%) and 1-3 (4.76%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
38.94% (0.81 0.81) 22.08% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04) 38.98% (-0.763 -0.76)
Both teams to score 69.07% (0.212 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.96% (0.265 0.27)31.04% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.56% (0.312 0.31)52.44% (-0.311 -0.31)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.1% (0.456 0.46)16.9% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.06% (0.805 0.81)46.94% (-0.804 -0.8)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (-0.2 -0.2)16.88% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.09% (-0.361 -0.36)46.91% (0.362 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 38.94%
    Ajax 38.98%
    Draw 22.08%
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.51% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.23% (0.072 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.081 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.88% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.053 0.05)
4-3 @ 1.12% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 38.94%
1-1 @ 9.02% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 7.14% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.85% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.51% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 22.08%
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 5.07% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.76% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-3 @ 4.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.12% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.88% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-4 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 38.98%

How you voted: Sparta vs Ajax

Sparta Rotterdam
30.8%
Draw
15.4%
Ajax
53.8%
26
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 15
Ajax
2-1
Sparta
Brobbey (8'), Bergwijn (42' pen.)
Neghli (55')
de Guzman (68')
Feb 19, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 22
Ajax
4-0
Sparta
Tadic (6', 64' pen.), Taylor (27'), Kudus (84')
Aug 21, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

de Guzman (14')
Bergwijn (37')
Alvarez (32')
Apr 9, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 26
Ajax
2-1
Sparta
Klaassen (49'), Tadic (62' pen.)
De Kamps (33')
de Kamps (50'), Auassar (61'), Engels (64')
Nov 28, 2021 11.15am
Gameweek 13
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

Engels (90+5'), Smeets (90+5')
Tadic (36')
Neres (90+4'), Maduro (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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