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Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
PEC Zwolle

Sparta
0 - 2
PEC Zwolle

FT(HT: 0-1)
Lam (26'), van den Berg (70')
de Rooij (53'), Fichtinger (64'), Velanas (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and form guide.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Sparta
Saturday, January 27 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-0 Vitesse
Friday, January 26 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 PEC Zwolle

There is little to choose between the sides and Sunday's encounter could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing the home side to narrowly see off the threat of their visitors and come out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.92%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawPEC Zwolle
49.17% (0.588 0.59) 22.27% (-0.106 -0.11) 28.56% (-0.478 -0.48)
Both teams to score 64.34% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.35% (0.194 0.19)35.65% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.29% (0.213 0.21)57.71% (-0.207 -0.21)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.11% (0.27300000000001 0.27)14.89% (-0.269 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.76% (0.513 0.51)43.25% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (-0.203 -0.2)24.41% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17% (-0.288 -0.29)58.84% (0.292 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 49.17%
    PEC Zwolle 28.56%
    Draw 22.27%
Sparta RotterdamDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.59% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.9% (0.076 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 4.16% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.033 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 49.17%
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.64% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.27%
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.13% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.56%

How you voted: Sparta vs PEC Zwolle

Sparta Rotterdam
62.5%
Draw
0.0%
PEC Zwolle
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
PEC Zwolle
1-2
Sparta
Thy (82')
Kersten (90+7'), Vellios (90+5')
Kersten (13' og.), Lauritsen (70')
Warmerdam (33'), de Guzman (54'), Kitolano (57'), Bakari (68')
May 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 30
Sparta
2-0
PEC Zwolle
Auassar (3'), Van Crooij (24')
Abels (57'), Thy (63')

Clement (57')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 6
PEC Zwolle
1-1
Sparta
Redan (8')
Huiberts (56')
Van Crooij (1')
Smeets (81'), Goudmijn (88')
Apr 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 28
Sparta
3-2
PEC Zwolle
Pinto (7'), Thy (75' pen., 90+3')
Beugelsdijk (26')
Van Polen (52'), Tedic (63')
Reijnders (57')
Sep 26, 2020 3.30pm
Gameweek 3
PEC Zwolle
4-0
Sparta
Ghoochannejhad (45+5' pen., 47'), Leemans (54'), Nakayama (71')
Nakayama (33')

Auassar (45+2')
Pinto (45+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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