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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
PEC Zwolle

AZ
2 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Pavlidis (77' pen.), Mijnans (90+4')
Clasie (47'), Belic (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thy (57'), Velanas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-2 Heerenveen
Saturday, January 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 PEC Zwolle

Goals have been a constant feature of this fixture, and we expect Saturday's encounter to follow suit. That said, AZ are huge favourites to come out on top, and we fully back the home side to live up to expectations and run out comfortable winners in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 70.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 13.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawPEC Zwolle
70.17% (0.184 0.18) 16.46% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 13.36% (-0.135 -0.14)
Both teams to score 60.31% (-0.23 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.4% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)29.59% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.3% (-0.125 -0.13)50.7% (0.127 0.13)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.43% (0.013999999999996 0.01)7.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.9% (0.031000000000006 0.03)27.09% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25% (-0.25699999999999 -0.26)34.75% (0.26 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (-0.272 -0.27)71.48% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 70.17%
    PEC Zwolle 13.36%
    Draw 16.46%
AZ AlkmaarDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 7.54% (0.058 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.79% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.87% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.66% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.51% (0.022 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 70.17%
1-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.63% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 16.46%
1-2 @ 3.79% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 2.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 13.36%

How you voted: AZ vs PEC Zwolle

AZ Alkmaar
90.0%
Draw
5.0%
PEC Zwolle
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 6
PEC Zwolle
0-3
AZ

Namli (23'), van den Berg (26'), Druijf (40')
Lahdo (13'), Van Brederode (52'), Pavlidis (90')
Moller Wolfe (63'), van Brederode (75'), Kasius (82')
Apr 10, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 26
PEC Zwolle
2-1
AZ
Kastaneer (51'), Redan (86')
Pavlidis (81')
Wijndal (89')
Oct 30, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 10
AZ
3-2
PEC Zwolle
De Wit (14'), Pavlidis (38', 52')
Midtsjo (39'), Sugawara (65')
De Wit (5', 13')
De Wit (55'), Langeler (55'), Huiberts (59'), van Polen (83')
Jan 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 15
PEC Zwolle
1-1
AZ
Clement (9')
Kersten (80')
Midtsjo (67')
Sep 19, 2020 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
AZ
1-1
PEC Zwolle
Boadu (68')
Stengs (17')
Leemans (38')
van Duinen (9'), Huiberts (40'), van Polen (71'), Lam (74'), Nakayama (90+5')
Lam (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1312014593636
2Feyenoord1384131131828
3FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
4Ajax1182125111426
5FC Twente1374226121425
6Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
7AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
8Fortuna SittardSittard135261418-417
9NECNijmegen125161910916
10Willem II124351312115
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Groningen133371224-1212
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


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