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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 70.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 13.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
70.17% ( 0.18) | 16.46% ( -0.05) | 13.36% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 60.31% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.4% ( -0.1) | 29.59% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.3% ( -0.13) | 50.7% ( 0.13) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.43% ( 0.01) | 7.56% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.9% ( 0.03) | 27.09% ( -0.03) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.25% ( -0.26) | 34.75% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.52% ( -0.27) | 71.48% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 70.17% | 1-1 @ 7.17% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 16.46% | 1-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.78% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 13.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |