Eredivisie | Gameweek 19

Jan 26, 2024 at 7pm UK

MAC³PARK Stadion

PEC Zwolle
1 - 0
Vitesse

Reijnders (16')
Fichtinger (59'), Garcia McNulty (71'), van Polen (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hendriks (18'), Oroz (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: AZ 2-2 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, January 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitesse

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Vitesse 1-2 Feyenoord
Sunday, January 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: PEC Zwolle 2-1 Vitesse

Zwolle have earned respectable draws with Ajax, Heerenveen and AZ in their last three matches, but there will be a real emphasis on the Blauwvingers to collect maximum points against the bottom side in this one. Vitesse have lost seven of their nine away matches in the Eredivisie this term, and we are predicting that tally will increase to eight on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
PEC Zwolle	Draw	Vitesse
47.18% ( 0.88)	23.4% ( 0.04)	29.42% ( -0.91)

Both teams to score 60.85% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.5% (

-0.7)

40.49% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.12% (

-0.72)

62.87% (

0.72)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.57% (

0.07)

17.43% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.12% (

0.13)

47.88% (

-0.12)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.7% (

-0.94)

26.3% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.57% (

-1.27)

61.43% (

1.27)

Score Analysis

PEC Zwolle 47.18%

Vitesse 29.42%

Draw 23.39%

PEC Zwolle	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 7% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.94% Total : 47.18%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.39%	1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.42%