Eredivisie | Gameweek 16

Dec 21, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

GelreDome, Arnhem

Vitesse
1 - 0
PEC Zwolle

Openda (47')
Bazoer (9'), Frederiksen (50'), Vroegh (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Voet (6'), Saymak (55'), van den Belt (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Vitesse 3-0 PEC Zwolle

There is very little going for Zwolle in any game at the moment, so it is difficult to back them to get anything from Tuesday's trip to an in-form Vitesse side. The hosts' defensive record may give Zwolle some hope, but their own attacking record is even worse and so a rare clean sheet could be in store during a comfortable win for Vitesse. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 71.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.53%) and 3-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	PEC Zwolle
71.68%	17.68%	10.64%

Both teams to score 46.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.86%

43.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.46%

65.54%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.3%

10.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.39%

34.6%

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.73%

48.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.57%

83.43%

Score Analysis

Vitesse 71.66%

PEC Zwolle 10.64%

Draw 17.68%

Vitesse	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-0 @ 12.89% 1-0 @ 11.53% 3-0 @ 9.61% 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-1 @ 7% 4-0 @ 5.37% 4-1 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-0 @ 2.4% 5-1 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.82% Total : 71.66%	1-1 @ 8.41% 0-0 @ 5.16% 2-2 @ 3.42% Other @ 0.69% Total : 17.68%	0-1 @ 3.76% 1-2 @ 3.06% 0-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.45% Total : 10.64%