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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Go Ahead Eagles
Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 7pm UK
De Adelaarshorst
Excelsior

Go Ahead Eagles
3 - 0
Excelsior

Thor Willumsson (41'), Nauber (70'), Linthorst (81')
Blomme (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Goudmijn (56'), de Moes (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Go Ahead Eagles and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, March 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Having enjoyed a superb season by their usual standards so far, Go Ahead Eagles will be hopeful that they can return to winning ways against their struggling opponents on Saturday. Excelsior finally ended their losing run against fellow strugglers last time out, but they may be on the end of another narrow defeat at De Adelaarshorst. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 3-1 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead EaglesDrawSBV Excelsior
62.91% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 18.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 18.25% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 63.28% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.86% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)31.14% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.45% (-0.012 -0.01)52.55% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.46% (0.0020000000000095 0)9.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.04% (0.0019999999999953 0)31.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)30.05% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)66.18% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Go Ahead Eagles 62.91%
    SBV Excelsior 18.25%
    Draw 18.84%
Go Ahead EaglesDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.91% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.2% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 3.64% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 62.91%
1-1 @ 8.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 18.84%
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 3.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 18.25%

How you voted: Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior

Go Ahead Eagles
91.7%
Draw
0.0%
SBV Excelsior
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 16
Excelsior
1-1
Go Ahead Eagles
Uddenas (83')
Amofa (54')
Rommens (89'), Nauber (90+3')
Apr 14, 2023 7pm
Oct 29, 2022 8pm
May 12, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 38
Excelsior
0-1
Go Ahead Eagles

Tjoe-A-On (42'), Bruins (63'), Zwarts (65'), Damen (90'), van Rooijen (90+5')
Kuipers (82')
Bakker (71'), Eersteling (72')
Oct 31, 2020 1pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1312014593636
2Feyenoord1384131131828
3FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
4Ajax1182125111426
5FC Twente1374226121425
6Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
7AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
8Fortuna SittardSittard135261418-417
9NECNijmegen125161910916
10Willem II124351312115
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Groningen133371224-1212
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


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