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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 54.48%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.75%) and 3-1 (6.63%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
54.48% ( -1.25) | 20.82% ( 0.63) | 24.7% ( 0.62) |
Both teams to score 66% ( -1.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.1% ( -2.47) | 31.9% ( 2.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.55% ( -2.94) | 53.45% ( 2.94) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.06% ( -1.14) | 11.94% ( 1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.69% ( -2.48) | 37.31% ( 2.48) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.95% ( -0.93) | 25.05% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.27% ( -1.3) | 59.72% ( 1.29) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.56) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.26) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.19) 4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.48% | 1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.39) 3-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.82% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.44) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |