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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.04%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 20.7% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.24%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (5.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
20.7% ( -0.02) | 19.26% ( -0.01) | 60.04% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 66.26% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.75% ( 0.02) | 29.25% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.72% ( 0.03) | 50.28% ( -0.03) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.36% ( 0) | 26.64% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.12% ( 0) | 61.88% ( -0) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.33% ( 0.01) | 9.67% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.74% ( 0.03) | 32.26% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 5.27% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.25% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.75% Total : 20.7% | 1-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.58% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 19.26% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.79% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.23% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.2% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.8% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.98% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.31% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 3.96% Total : 60.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
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