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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
40.7% ( -0.15) | 23.58% ( -0.02) | 35.71% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 62.85% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.01% ( 0.12) | 38.99% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.69% ( 0.12) | 61.31% ( -0.12) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.49% ( -0.02) | 19.51% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.61% ( -0.03) | 51.39% ( 0.02) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.08% ( 0.14) | 21.91% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.82% ( 0.21) | 55.17% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 40.7% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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