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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 57.42%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.67% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PEC Zwolle in this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
57.42% ( -0.78) | 20.91% ( 0.36) | 21.67% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 61.51% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.99% ( -1.16) | 36.01% ( 1.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.89% ( -1.29) | 58.1% ( 1.29) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.56% ( -0.59) | 12.44% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.63% ( -1.24) | 38.37% ( 1.25) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.25% ( -0.29) | 29.75% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.19% ( -0.35) | 65.81% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.2% Total : 57.42% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.02% Total : 21.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |