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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.18%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
29.08% ( -0) | 20.91% ( -0) | 50.01% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 69.97% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.52% ( 0.01) | 28.48% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.66% ( 0.01) | 49.34% ( -0) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.56% ( 0) | 20.44% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.1% ( 0) | 52.9% ( -0) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.95% ( 0) | 12.05% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.45% ( 0.01) | 37.55% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 6.57% 1-0 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.68% 3-1 @ 3.48% 2-0 @ 3.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.46% 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.08% | 1-1 @ 8.28% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.95% 3-3 @ 2.59% 0-0 @ 2.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 8.76% 1-3 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 5.52% 0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.9% 0-3 @ 3.89% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.27% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.59% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.06% 1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.37% 2-5 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 18 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
4 | FC Twente | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Feyenoord | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
6 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Willem II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
10 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 6 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |