Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 75.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 10.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 3-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Vitesse |
75.64% ( 0.21) | 14.23% ( 0.06) | 10.13% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 58.03% ( -1.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.61% ( -1.2) | 27.39% ( 1.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.02% ( -1.52) | 47.98% ( 1.52) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.97% ( -0.22) | 6.03% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.03% ( -0.63) | 22.97% ( 0.63) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.76% ( -1.38) | 38.24% ( 1.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25% ( -1.36) | 75% ( 1.36) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Vitesse |
2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.38) 4-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.15) 6-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.11) 6-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.07) Other @ 5% Total : 75.64% | 1-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.24% Total : 14.23% | 1-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.55% Total : 10.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |