MX23RW : Friday, November 22 01:39:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
NEC

Utrecht
1 - 0
Nijmegen

Lammers (61')
Bozdogan (42'), van der Hoorn (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nuytinck (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almere City 1-1 Utrecht
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, March 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 2-1 NEC

There is little to pick between the sides heading into this one, and Sunday's game could easily head either way. That said, we are backing the hosts to get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.47%. A win for NEC had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 1-0 (6.92%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawNEC
54.47% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 21.17% (0.155 0.16) 24.36% (-0.115 -0.12)
Both teams to score 64.24% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.97% (-0.89200000000001 -0.89)34.03% (0.9 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.1% (-1.018 -1.02)55.9% (1.025 1.03)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.35% (-0.304 -0.3)12.65% (0.312 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.2% (-0.637 -0.64)38.8% (0.64599999999999 0.65)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.574 -0.57)26.46% (0.581 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-0.771 -0.77)61.64% (0.779 0.78)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 54.47%
    NEC 24.36%
    Draw 21.17%
FC UtrechtDrawNEC
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.164 0.16)
1-0 @ 6.92% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.93% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2.25% (-0.077 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 54.47%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.35% (0.154 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.93% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.17%
1-2 @ 6.12% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.45% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.96% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 24.36%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Nijmegen

FC Utrecht
56.3%
Draw
12.5%
NEC
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 6
Nijmegen
3-0
Utrecht
Proper (31'), Mattsson (34'), Dost (52' pen.)
Verdonk (17')

Jensen (44'), van der Maarel (58')
Mar 12, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 25
Nijmegen
2-2
Utrecht
Dimata (31', 48')
Dost (63'), Boussaid (67')
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
Apr 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 28
Utrecht
1-0
Nijmegen
Douvikas (77')

Duelund (14'), Bruijn (50'), Proper (73')
Sep 22, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 5
Nijmegen
0-3
Utrecht
Ramselaar (7', 79'), Douvikas (66')
van der Maarel (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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