Eredivisie | Gameweek 20

Feb 4, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
4 - 2
Volendam

Booth (38', 57', 84'), Viergever (45')
Boussaid (35'), van der Hoorn (38')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Booth (9'), Flint (54')
Flint (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Excelsior 1-1 Utrecht
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Volendam

All competitions

Last Game: Volendam 0-1 Sittard
Sunday, January 28 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: FC Utrecht 1-0 FC Volendam

With two of the Eredivisie's lowest scorers going head-to-head, we are anticipating a drab affair. That said, we fancy Utrecht to carry the day at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 74.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 10.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	FC Volendam
74.76% ( 1.68)	15.12% ( -0.6)	10.12% ( -1.08)

Both teams to score 53.97% (

-1.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.82% (

-0.32)

32.18% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.22% (

-0.38)

53.78% (

0.37)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.74% (

0.26)

7.26% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.69% (

0.68)

26.31% (

-0.69)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.2% (

-2.15)

41.8% (

2.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.74% (

-1.94)

78.26% (

1.94)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 74.75%

FC Volendam 10.12%

Draw 15.12%

FC Utrecht	Draw	FC Volendam
2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.45) 3-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 7.96% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.42) 4-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.26) 5-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.13) 6-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.59% Total : 74.75%	1-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.12%	1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.13% Total : 10.12%