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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 74.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Volendam |
74.76% ( 1.68) | 15.12% ( -0.6) | 10.12% ( -1.08) |
Both teams to score 53.97% ( -1.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.82% ( -0.32) | 32.18% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.22% ( -0.38) | 53.78% ( 0.37) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.74% ( 0.26) | 7.26% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.69% ( 0.68) | 26.31% ( -0.69) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.2% ( -2.15) | 41.8% ( 2.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.74% ( -1.94) | 78.26% ( 1.94) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.45) 3-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 7.96% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.42) 4-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.26) 5-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.13) 6-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.59% Total : 74.75% | 1-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.12% | 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.13% Total : 10.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |