Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 20, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Polman Stadion

Heracles
1 - 1
Volendam

Hornkamp (64')
Hornkamp (46')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zeefuik (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Heracles
Friday, January 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Volendam

All competitions

Last Game: Volendam 0-1 Almere City
Sunday, January 14 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: Heracles 2-1 FC Volendam

Volendam have been defensively suspect all-season long and Heracles will be looking to capitalise on their visitors' frailties at the back. We are tipping the home side to get the job done come the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 16.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Heracles	Draw	FC Volendam
63.75% ( 0.05)	19.48% ( 0.03)	16.77% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 57.56% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.94% (

-0.27)

37.06% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.75% (

-0.29)

59.25% (

0.3)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.96% (

-0.06)

11.04% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.64% (

-0.15)

35.36% (

0.15)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.7% (

-0.25)

35.3% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.94% (

-0.26)

72.06% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Heracles 63.75%

FC Volendam 16.77%

Draw 19.48%

Heracles	Draw	FC Volendam
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 63.75%	1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.48%	1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 16.77%