Eredivisie | Gameweek 27

Mar 30, 2024 at 8pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
2 - 0
Vitesse

de Wit (53'), Pavlidis (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Last Game: Volendam 0-4 AZ
Sunday, March 17 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: Vitesse 1-1 Almere City
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Vitesse

The in-form hosts will be the obvious favourites to get the better of a struggling Vitesse side, and we expect AZ to showcase their extra quality and claim a relatively comfortable victory in Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 67.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 14.46%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Vitesse
67.81% ( -0)	17.73% ( 0)	14.46% ( 0)

Both teams to score 58.39% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.64% (

-0)

33.36% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.86% (

-0.01)

55.14% (

0.01)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.97% (

-0)

9.03% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.27% (

-0)

30.73% (

0.01)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.19% (

-0)

35.81% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.41% (

-0)

72.59% (

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 67.81%

Vitesse 14.46%

Draw 17.73%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.35% 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.7% 3-0 @ 7.5% 4-1 @ 4.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.51% 3-2 @ 3.95% 4-2 @ 2.38% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.23% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.17% 5-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 4.9% Total : 67.81%	1-1 @ 7.98% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.93% 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.23% Total : 17.73%	1-2 @ 4.1% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.69% 1-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.25% Total : 14.46%