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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
64.95% ( -1.65) | 19.09% ( 0.81) | 15.95% ( 0.84) |
Both teams to score 57.08% ( -0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.2% ( -2.18) | 36.8% ( 2.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.03% ( -2.4) | 58.97% ( 2.4) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.34% ( -1.01) | 10.65% ( 1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.49% ( -2.31) | 34.51% ( 2.31) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.88% ( -0.33) | 36.12% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.1% ( -0.34) | 72.9% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.32) 4-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.23) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.21) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.79% Total : 64.95% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.4) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.09% | 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 2% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.36% Total : 15.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |