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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
32.95% ( 0.18) | 23.11% ( 0.06) | 43.94% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 63.84% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.63% ( -0.22) | 37.37% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.41% ( -0.23) | 59.59% ( 0.23) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.36% ( -0) | 22.64% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.73% ( -0.01) | 56.27% ( 0.01) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.53% ( -0.18) | 17.47% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.04% ( -0.32) | 47.96% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 32.95% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.2% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.04% Total : 43.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 18 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
4 | FC Twente | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Feyenoord | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
6 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Willem II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
9 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
11 | Heerenveen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 7 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
13 | Heracles | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 6 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 6 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 0 |
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