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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.33%) and 2-0 (5.3%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
39.97% ( -0.69) | 23.1% ( 0.08) | 36.92% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 64.87% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.56% ( -0.36) | 36.43% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.43% ( -0.39) | 58.57% ( 0.39) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.25% ( -0.45) | 18.75% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.86% ( -0.76) | 50.14% ( 0.76) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.84% ( 0.13) | 20.16% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.56% ( 0.21) | 52.44% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.59% Total : 39.97% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.13% Total : 36.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |