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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heracles in this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Heerenveen |
40.08% ( 0.15) | 23.78% ( -0.04) | 36.13% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 62.15% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.07% ( 0.19) | 39.92% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.71% ( 0.19) | 62.28% ( -0.2) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.81% ( 0.14) | 20.19% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.51% ( 0.23) | 52.49% ( -0.24) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.88% ( 0.03) | 22.12% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.51% ( 0.04) | 55.49% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 40.08% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
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