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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | NAC Breda |
57.31% ( 0.06) | 21.73% ( -0.02) | 20.95% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 57.42% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.12% ( 0.01) | 40.88% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.73% ( 0.01) | 63.26% ( -0.01) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.93% ( 0.02) | 14.06% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.35% ( 0.04) | 41.65% ( -0.04) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.81% ( -0.04) | 33.18% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.21% ( -0.05) | 69.78% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | NAC Breda |
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.57% 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 57.31% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 20.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
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