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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Willem II |
31.84% (![]() | 23.55% (![]() | 44.61% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.69% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.01% (![]() | 39.99% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.64% (![]() | 62.36% (![]() |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.46% (![]() | 24.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.99% (![]() | 59.01% (![]() |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.75% (![]() | 18.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.7% (![]() | 49.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Willem II |
2-1 @ 7.52% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.29% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.84% | 1-1 @ 10.7% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 9.1% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.62% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.48% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 3.65% Total : 44.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 52 |
2 | Ajax | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 51 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 43 |
4 | Feyenoord | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 40 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 40 |
6 | FC Twente | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Groningen | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 27 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 27 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
11 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Willem II | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
15 | Heracles | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 24 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 43 | -31 | 13 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |