Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 14

Nov 4, 2022 at 7pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
1 - 2
Heracles

Hornkamp (48')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Schoofs (62'), Bruns (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Willem II and Heracles.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-2 Willem II
Monday, October 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Almere City 3-2 Heracles
Friday, October 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 54.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Willem II	Draw	Heracles
54.82% ( 2.45)	23.37% ( -0.82)	21.82% ( -1.63)

Both teams to score 53.24% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.98% (

1.72)

47.03% (

-1.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.73% (

1.59)

69.27% (

-1.58)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.97% (

1.55)

17.03% (

-1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.82% (

2.68)

47.18% (

-2.67)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.17% (

-0.56)

35.83% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.4% (

-0.58)

72.61% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Willem II 54.82%

Heracles 21.82%

Draw 23.36%

Willem II	Draw	Heracles
1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.43) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.28) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.31) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.96% Total : 54.82%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.36%	0-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.57) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.82%