Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 7, 2022 at 7pm UK
Polman Stadion
Heracles3 - 2De Graafschap
FT(HT: 1-1)
de Jong (18'), Gravenberch (71')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Heracles and De Graafschap.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Den Bosch 1-2 Heracles
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: De Graafschap 2-0 Jong AZ
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for De Graafschap had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a De Graafschap win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | De Graafschap |
57.77% ( 1.03) | 21.14% ( -0.22) | 21.09% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 59.76% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
