MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 10:13:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2022 at 7pm UK
De Toekomst
Heracles Almelo

Jong Ajax
4 - 0
Heracles

Lucca (45', 57'), Warmerdam (73', 81')
Lucca (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and Heracles.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-0 Jong Ajax
Sunday, August 28 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-2 MVV
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
Jong AjaxDrawHeracles
51.59% (1.617 1.62) 22.24% (-0.084 -0.08) 26.17% (-1.534 -1.53)
Both teams to score 62.31% (-1.131 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.59% (-0.879 -0.88)37.41% (0.879 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.37% (-0.952 -0.95)59.63% (0.951 0.95)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29% (0.22799999999999 0.23)14.71% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.09% (0.432 0.43)42.9% (-0.432 -0.43)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (-1.525 -1.52)26.95% (1.526 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72% (-2.042 -2.04)62.28% (2.042 2.04)
Score Analysis
    Jong Ajax 51.59%
    Heracles 26.17%
    Draw 22.24%
Jong AjaxDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.147 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.378 0.38)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.417 0.42)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.142 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.301 0.3)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.161 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 51.59%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-0 @ 3.96% (0.166 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.239 -0.24)
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.41% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.236 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.17%

How you voted: Jong Ajax vs Heracles

Jong Ajax
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Heracles
40.0%
5
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior852123111217
2Den BoschDen Bosch75111541116
3Helmond SportHelmond7421116514
4FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven8332106412
5Jong PSVJong PSV7322139411
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap73221714311
7TelstarTelstar7322129311
8Jong AZJong AZ83231516-111
9FC VolendamVolendam83141715210
10Roda JC8242712-510
11Jong AjaxJong Ajax723210829
12Dordrecht723289-19
13EmmenEmmen7223810-28
14ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag8152814-68
15VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo8224916-78
16TOP OssOss8224615-98
17Cambuur72145507
18MVV MaastrichtMVV8143813-57
19Vitesse7241111014
20Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht8035718-113


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!