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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 59.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heracles |
59.62% ( 1.51) | 20.38% ( 0.02) | 20% ( -1.53) |
Both teams to score 60.71% ( -2.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.14% ( -2.31) | 35.86% ( 2.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.06% ( -2.59) | 57.94% ( 2.59) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.22% ( -0.31) | 11.78% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.03% ( -0.66) | 36.97% ( 0.66) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.81% ( -2.73) | 31.19% ( 2.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.47% ( -3.3) | 67.53% ( 3.29) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heracles |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.75) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.79) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.19) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.52% Total : 59.62% | 1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.41) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.38% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.64% Total : 20% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
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