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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 85.02%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 5.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 4-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.6%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Heracles |
85.02% ( 0.03) | 9.95% ( -0.02) | 5.02% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.3% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.41% ( 0.07) | 25.58% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.32% ( 0.09) | 45.68% ( -0.1) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.84% ( 0.02) | 4.15% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.63% ( 0.06) | 17.36% ( -0.06) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.39% ( 0.01) | 49.6% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.62% ( 0.01) | 84.38% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Heracles |
3-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.38% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 7-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.87% Total : 85.02% | 1-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.56% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 9.95% | 1-2 @ 1.61% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 5.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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