Eredivisie | Gameweek 29

Apr 6, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
1 - 2
Heracles

Brym (42')
Metinho (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hoogma (48'), Hornkamp (73')
Scheperman (19'), Bruns (55'), Hoogma (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Vitesse 1-4 Sparta
Tuesday, April 2 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Heracles 5-0 AZ
Wednesday, April 3 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Heracles

A win in midweek for Heracles moved them a comfortable distance away from trouble, but it will be difficult to follow that up here, especially given their woeful away form. Sparta will be fully expecting to beat a side who have just eight away points this term, and that will see them reclaim a top-eight spot before Utrecht play on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 15.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 1-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Heracles
65.53% ( -0.01)	18.82% ( 0.02)	15.64% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.3% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.84% (

-0.11)

36.15% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.73% (

-0.12)

58.27% (

0.12)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.67% (

-0.03)

10.33% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.23% (

-0.08)

33.77% (

0.07)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.9% (

-0.08)

36.1% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.12% (

-0.08)

72.88% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 65.53%

Heracles 15.64%

Draw 18.82%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Heracles
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.98% Total : 65.53%	1-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.82%	1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 15.64%