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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Fortuna Sittard

Sparta
4 - 0
Sittard

Verschueren (28'), Lauritsen (58', 88'), Neghli (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, March 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 3-1 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard showed plenty of encouraging signs before the break, while their hosts struggled despite a creditable draw with Ajax last time out. Given the shifting momentum between the two mid-table teams, we anticipate Fortunezen coming out on top and stretching the gap on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawFortuna Sittard
42.93% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 25.36% (0.032 0.03) 31.71% (-0.118 -0.12)
Both teams to score 55.3% (-0.151 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (-0.176 -0.18)48.33% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.53% (-0.161 -0.16)70.47% (0.166 0.17)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)22.45% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.02% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)55.98% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.164 -0.16)28.7% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)64.52% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 42.93%
    Fortuna Sittard 31.71%
    Draw 25.36%
Sparta RotterdamDrawFortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.19% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.58% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.93%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.71%

How you voted: Sparta vs Sittard

Sparta Rotterdam
41.7%
Draw
31.3%
Fortuna Sittard
27.1%
48
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 17
Sittard
0-2
Sparta

Halilovic (50'), Rosier (90+4'), Peterson (90+3')
Mito (33'), Metinho (48')
van der Kust (37')
Feb 3, 2023 7pm
Oct 29, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 12
Sparta
3-1
Sittard
Verschueren (26', 83'), Van Crooij (54' pen.)
Noslin (19')
Apr 16, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Sittard
3-0
Sparta
Seuntjens (10'), Gladon (35', 77')
Seuntjens (27')

Okoye (11'), de Kamps (33'), van Crooij (83')
Sep 12, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Sparta
3-1
Sittard
Smeets (21'), Thy (29'), Emegha (73')
Beugelsdijk (42'), Pinto (44')
Seuntjens (49')
Flemming (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV23164371264552
2Ajax21163245182751
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2312744236643
4Feyenoord22117446262040
5AZ AlkmaarAZ22124638211740
6FC Twente21106544301436
7Go Ahead Eagles2210574034635
8Groningen2376102232-1027
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2383122641-1527
10Fortuna SittardSittard2275102940-1126
11Heerenveen2275102641-1526
12NECNijmegen2173113230224
13PEC Zwolle2266102634-824
14Willem II2366112634-824
15Heracles225982839-1124
16Sparta RotterdamSparta2348111933-1420
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2245133145-1417
18Almere CityAlmere City2134141243-3113


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