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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
42.93% (![]() | 25.36% (![]() | 31.71% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.68% (![]() | 48.33% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.53% (![]() | 70.47% (![]() |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.56% (![]() | 22.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.02% (![]() | 55.98% (![]() |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.31% (![]() | 28.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.48% (![]() | 64.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 9.62% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.98% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.19% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.93% | 1-1 @ 12.01% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.6% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.04% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.5% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 52 |
2 | Ajax | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 51 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 43 |
4 | Feyenoord | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 40 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 40 |
6 | FC Twente | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Groningen | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 27 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 27 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
11 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Willem II | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
15 | Heracles | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 24 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 43 | -31 | 13 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |