Eredivisie | Gameweek 33

May 12, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
4 - 0
Heracles

Parrott (45+3', 66'), Driouech (67', 90+5')
Driouech (68'), Zagre (70'), van Duinen (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sankoh (52'), Hrustic (65'), Vejinovic (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 0-3 Nijmegen
Monday, May 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Heracles 0-5 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, May 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 Heracles

There is little to choose between the sides and this weekend's clash could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Heracles
60.48% ( 6.85)	19.84% ( -1.89)	19.67% ( -4.97)

Both teams to score 62.16% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.27% (

2.71)

33.73% (

-2.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.44% (

3.02)

55.55% (

-3.02)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.1% (

2.82)

10.9% (

-2.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.95% (

5.91)

35.05% (

-5.91)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.76% (

-2.68)

30.24% (

2.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.59% (

-3.33)

66.4% (

3.33)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 60.48%

Heracles 19.67%

Draw 19.84%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Heracles
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.64) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.79) 3-0 @ 5.98% ( 1.04) 3-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.8) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.86) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.33) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.5) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.5) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.24) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.11% Total : 60.48%	1-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.94) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.49) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.84%	1-2 @ 5.23% ( -1.01) 0-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.93) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.78) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.6) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.41) Other @ 2.82% Total : 19.67%