Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Heracles |
60.48% ( 6.85) | 19.84% ( -1.89) | 19.67% ( -4.97) |
Both teams to score 62.16% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.27% ( 2.71) | 33.73% ( -2.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.44% ( 3.02) | 55.55% ( -3.02) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.1% ( 2.82) | 10.9% ( -2.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.95% ( 5.91) | 35.05% ( -5.91) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.76% ( -2.68) | 30.24% ( 2.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.59% ( -3.33) | 66.4% ( 3.33) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | Heracles |
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.64) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.79) 3-0 @ 5.98% ( 1.04) 3-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.8) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.86) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.33) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.5) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.5) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.24) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.11% Total : 60.48% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.94) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.49) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.84% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -1.01) 0-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.93) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.78) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.6) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.41) Other @ 2.82% Total : 19.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |