Darmstadt0 - 2B. Leverkusen
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, January 27 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: SV Darmstadt 98 0-3 Bayer Leverkusen
Leverkusen's draw with Monchengladbach last time out should be considered as nothing more than a minor blip for Alonso's title hopefuls, who will be regarded as firm favourites to return to winning ways in comfortable fashion on Saturday. Die Werkself should have few problems rediscovering their goalscoring form against a leaky Darmstadt outfit, who have conceded an average of over two goals per game in the Bundesliga this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 0-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 2-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
18.69% ( 0.46) | 20.47% ( 0.11) | 60.83% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.64% ( 0.25) | 38.35% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.36% ( 0.27) | 60.63% ( -0.27) |
| SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.03% ( 0.65) | 33.96% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.35% ( 0.69) | 70.64% ( -0.7) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.78% ( -0.09) | 12.21% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.11% ( -0.18) | 37.88% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.96% Total : 18.69% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.47% | 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.17)0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 6.94% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 6.43% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.38% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.97% Total : 60.83% |
