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Bundesliga
SV Darmstadt
Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
Dortmund logo

Darmstadt
0 - 3
Dortmund


Maglica (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brandt (24'), Reus (77'), Moukoko (90+2')
Bynoe-Gittens (3'), Maatsen (31'), Reyna (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between SV Darmstadt 98 and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-3 Darmstadt
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 3-3 Standard Liege
Tuesday, January 9 at 10am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: SV Darmstadt 98 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

 Returning to winning ways is high on the agenda for these two out-of-form teams, but Dortmund will be regarded as the favourites to come out on top on Saturday and they should ultimately have too much for a defensively-frail Darmstadt side, who have already conceded a league-high 41 goals so far this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.93%) and 0-2 (5.32%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98DrawBorussia Dortmund
35.01% (0.040999999999997 0.04) 22.52% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 42.47% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 66.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.22% (0.018999999999991 0.02)33.78% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.38% (0.021000000000001 0.02)55.62% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11% (0.031000000000006 0.03)19.89% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.99% (0.046999999999997 0.05)52.01% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.39% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)16.62% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.57% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)46.44% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    SV Darmstadt 98 35.01%
    Borussia Dortmund 42.47%
    Draw 22.52%
SV Darmstadt 98DrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.34%
2-0 @ 4.31% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.74% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
4-3 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 35.01%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.24% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.14% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 4.15%
0-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.86%
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 1%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 42.47%

How you voted: SV Darmstadt 98 vs Dortmund

SV Darmstadt 98
10.0%
Draw
5.7%
Borussia Dortmund
84.3%
70
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2017 2.30pm
SV Darmstadt 98
2-1
Dortmund
Boyd (21'), Colak (67')
Esser (75'), Sulu (77')
Guerreiro (44')
Aubameyang (73'), Burnic (79')
Sep 17, 2016 2.30pm
Dortmund
6-0
SV Darmstadt 98
Castro (7', 78'), Ramos (48'), Pulisic (54'), Rode (84'), Mor (88')

Ben-Hatira (22'), Milosevic (32'), Hoehn (41'), Niemeyer (44'), Jungwirth (50')
Niemeyer (57')
Mar 2, 2016 7pm
SV Darmstadt 98
0-2
Dortmund
Ramos (38'), Durm (53')
Subotic (81')
Sep 27, 2015 4.30pm
Dortmund
2-2
SV Darmstadt 98
Aubameyang (63', 71')
Heller (17'), Sulu (90')
Wagner (45'), Heller (54')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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