Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 9, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Dortmund2 - 3RB Leipzig
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Dortmund
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-4 RB Leipzig
Goals are to be expected in this highly-anticipated contest as the net has rippled at least three times in 10 of the last 14 meetings between these two teams. Leipzig have had plenty of joy over Dortmund in the last few years and we feel that Rose's men, refreshed after a week off, have the firepower to cause problems in the final third once again when they face a depleted and deflated BVB outfit who have been conceding goals for fun of late. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.57%) and 3-1 (5.46%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
44.5% ( -0.09) | 21.98% ( 0.01) | 33.51% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 68.38% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
