MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:40:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
SV Darmstadt
Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
Leipzig logo

SV Darmstadt 98
1 - 3
RB Leipzig

Kempe (32' pen.)
Holland (47'), Klarer (49'), Nurnberger (60'), Skarke (67'), Maglica (68'), Muller (71')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Openda (1', 72'), Forsberg (24')
Raum (63'), Openda (68'), Kampl (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between SV Darmstadt 98 and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: SV Darmstadt 98 0-2 RB Leipzig

Darmstadt would have taken confidence from picking up consecutive victories, but we think that they will come undone against a Leipzig side that have won their last two Bundesliga away matches without conceding a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98DrawRB Leipzig
26.61% (0.139 0.14) 22.69% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 50.7% (-0.127 -0.13)
Both teams to score 61.11% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.83% (0.181 0.18)39.16% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.51% (0.191 0.19)61.49% (-0.191 -0.19)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (0.19500000000001 0.2)27.55% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.92% (0.252 0.25)63.07% (-0.253 -0.25)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.36% (0.022000000000006 0.02)15.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)44.65% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    SV Darmstadt 98 26.61%
    RB Leipzig 50.7%
    Draw 22.68%
SV Darmstadt 98DrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.64% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.55% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.58% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 26.61%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.68%
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.42% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.74%
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.77% (0.01 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 50.7%

How you voted: SV Darmstadt 98 vs RB Leipzig

SV Darmstadt 98
12.0%
Draw
10.0%
RB Leipzig
78.0%
50
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2017 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-0
SV Darmstadt 98
Keita (13', 81'), Forsberg (67'), Orban (79')
Burke (42')

Schipplock (57'), Sirigu (62'), Kamavuaka (83')
Sirigu (72')
Oct 29, 2016 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!