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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Augsburg logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Augsburg

Boniface (12'), Andrich (27')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Komur (62')
Uduokhai (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-5 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Augsburg 0-1 Stuttgart
Friday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Augsburg

 Leverkusen may have bigger fish to fry over the next 10 days, but the chance to conclude an entire domestic season unbeaten is one that Alonso's well-rested champions should not pass up on Saturday. Facing an Augsburg side in the midst of an injury crisis and without a single recognised right-back, Die Werkself should do what they do best and end a phenomenal Bundesliga season with no losses on their record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 76.81%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 9.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 3-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.44%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAugsburg
76.81% (0.621 0.62) 13.29% (-0.138 -0.14) 9.9% (-0.4891 -0.49)
Both teams to score 61.65% (-1.539 -1.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.03% (-0.884 -0.88)22.97% (0.879 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.78% (-1.203 -1.2)42.21% (1.198 1.2)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.08% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)4.91% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.28% (-0.26100000000001 -0.26)19.72% (0.256 0.26)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.84% (-1.558 -1.56)35.16% (1.554 1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09% (-1.663 -1.66)71.91% (1.659 1.66)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 76.81%
    Augsburg 9.9%
    Draw 13.29%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAugsburg
3-1 @ 8.23% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.073 0.07)
3-0 @ 7.88% (0.349 0.35)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.391 0.39)
4-1 @ 6.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.93% (0.229 0.23)
1-0 @ 5.21% (0.288 0.29)
3-2 @ 4.3% (-0.172 -0.17)
5-1 @ 3.74% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 3.58% (0.119 0.12)
4-2 @ 3.24% (-0.15 -0.15)
5-2 @ 1.95% (-0.102 -0.1)
6-1 @ 1.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.8% (0.05 0.05)
4-3 @ 1.13% (-0.103 -0.1)
6-2 @ 0.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 4.72%
Total : 76.81%
1-1 @ 5.44% (0.079 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-0 @ 1.73% (0.105 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 13.29%
1-2 @ 2.84% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-1 @ 1.81% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 0.94% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 9.9%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Augsburg

Bayer Leverkusen
89.8%
Draw
6.5%
Augsburg
3.7%
108
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Augsburg
0-1
B. Leverkusen

Vargas (18'), Iago (19'), Dorsch (44')
Palacios (90+4')
Hofmann (45+1')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 19
Augsburg
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Berisha (55')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
B. Leverkusen
1-2
Augsburg
Aranguiz (43')
Azmoun (79')
Jensen (15'), Hahn (82')
Pedersen (35'), Demirovic (42'), Gouweleeuw (70'), Rexhbecaj (75'), Gikiewicz (82'), Bauer (89')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
B. Leverkusen
5-1
Augsburg
Bellarabi (9'), Diaby (24', 65', 69'), Alario (81')
Bellarabi (6')
Maier (62')
Pedersen (43'), Uduokhai (52')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Augsburg
1-4
B. Leverkusen
Niederlechner (30')
Iago (3' og.), Niederlechner (14' og.), Schick (75'), Wirtz (81')
Demirbay (66')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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