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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 82.87%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 5.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 4-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.14%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (1.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Werder Bremen |
82.87% (![]() | 11.14% (![]() | 5.99% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.65% (![]() | 27.35% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.07% (![]() | 47.93% (![]() |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.2% (![]() | 4.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.61% (![]() | 19.39% (![]() |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.11% (![]() | 47.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.85% (![]() | 83.15% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Werder Bremen |
3-0 @ 10.72% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.6% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 8.14% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.9% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.81% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 4.26% Total : 82.86% | 1-1 @ 5.14% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.82% Total : 11.14% | 1-2 @ 1.89% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.69% ( ![]() Other @ 2.4% Total : 5.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |