Prior to their 1-0 win in the reverse fixture, Dortmund had scored at least two or more goals in each of their previous 11 meetings with Bremen, so they should be confident of breaching their backline once again on Saturday.
Bremen cannot be taken lightly by BVB, though, as they have taken points from the likes of Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig this season, but we believe that the visitors will find a way to come out on top to boost their top-four hopes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.81%) and 0-1 (6.8%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.
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