Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 23

Feb 25, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
2 - 3
Hoffenheim

Malen (21'), Schlotterbeck (25')
Sabitzer (45'), Malen (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bebou (2'), Beier (61', 64')
Tohumcu (24'), Brooks (90+3'), Geiger (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: PSV 1-1 Dortmund
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, February 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Hoffenheim

Dortmund may have drawn three of their last four competitive matches, but they have won each of their previous six meetings with Hoffenheim, and we think that they will do enough to beat a side that have lost four of their last five away league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Hoffenheim
67.69% ( 0.32)	16.83% ( -0.13)	15.48% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 65% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.59% (

0.25)

26.41% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.26% (

0.31)

46.74% (

-0.31)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.74% (

0.13)

7.26% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.7% (

0.33)

26.3% (

-0.33)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.09% (

-0.05)

29.91% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.99% (

-0.06)

66.01% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 67.69%

Hoffenheim 15.48%

Draw 16.83%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.76% Total : 67.69%	1-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.43% Total : 16.83%	1-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.27% Total : 15.48%