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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
VfL Bochum

Dortmund
3 - 1
VfL Bochum

Fullkrug (6' pen., 72', 90+1' pen.)
Malen (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Schlotterbeck (45' og.)
Riemann (4'), Wittek (59'), Paciencia (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-4 Dortmund
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-0 VfL Bochum

 Dortmund have played like a rejuvenated side since returning from the winter break, having scored seven goals without reply against their struggling opponents. The addition of fresh faces Maatsen and Sancho appear to have provided BVB with some much needed impetus. Bochum do not tend to travel particularly well, having been thrashed by Stuttgart, Bayern Munich, and Bayer Leverkusen already this season. We are struggling to see beyond a comfortable victory for the hosts, who will move back into the top four if they claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 72.84%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 11.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawVfL Bochum
72.84% (0.605 0.61) 15.43% (-0.041 -0.04) 11.73% (-0.568 -0.57)
Both teams to score 59.12% (-1.916 -1.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.27% (-1.437 -1.44)28.73% (1.433 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.35% (-1.785 -1.79)49.65% (1.783 1.78)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.16% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)6.84% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.81% (-0.592 -0.59)25.19% (0.59 0.59)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46% (-1.904 -1.9)36.54% (1.899 1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.67% (-1.967 -1.97)73.33% (1.964 1.96)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 72.84%
    VfL Bochum 11.73%
    Draw 15.43%
Borussia DortmundDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.99% (0.539 0.54)
3-1 @ 8.09% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.04% (0.39 0.39)
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.478 0.48)
4-1 @ 5.43% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 5.39% (0.2 0.2)
3-2 @ 4.07% (-0.225 -0.23)
5-1 @ 2.91% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-0 @ 2.89% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.73% (-0.186 -0.19)
5-2 @ 1.47% (-0.118 -0.12)
6-1 @ 1.3% (-0.05 -0.05)
6-0 @ 1.29% (0.018 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.92% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 72.84%
1-1 @ 6.75% (0.148 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-0 @ 2.5% (0.206 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 15.43%
1-2 @ 3.4% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-1 @ 2.52% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 1.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 11.73%

How you voted: Dortmund vs VfL Bochum

Borussia Dortmund
94.0%
Draw
4.5%
VfL Bochum
1.5%
67
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
VfL Bochum
1-1
Dortmund
Stoger (13')
Stoger (66'), Bero (71')
Malen (56')
Can (75')
> Preview
Apr 28, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
VfL Bochum
1-1
Dortmund
Losilla (5')
Adeyemi (7')
> Preview
Feb 8, 2023 7.45pm
Round of 16
VfL Bochum
1-2
Dortmund
Stoger (64' pen.)
Can (45+1'), Reus (70')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Dortmund
3-0
VfL Bochum
Moukoko (8', 45+2'), Reyna (12' pen.)
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Dortmund
3-4
VfL Bochum
Braut Haaland (18' pen., 30' pen., 62')
Bellingham (24'), Brandt (54'), Rothe (89'), Papadopoulos (90+3')
Polter (3'), Holtmann (8'), Locadia (81'), Pantovic (85' pen.)
Losilla (31'), Masovic (35'), Zoller (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201
> Bundesliga Full Table


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