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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
PreZero Arena
Heidenheim

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Heidenheim

Kramaric (45+7' pen.)
Stach (59'), Akpoguma (72'), Brooks (89'), Grillitsch (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dinkci (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-2 Heidenheim

 Hoffenheim's defensive record has been wretched in recent times, meaning that Heidenheim will fancy their chances of recording an upset. The visitors are one of the most potent teams from set-pieces in the Bundesliga and could cause plenty of issues in that regard. However, the hosts clearly possess greater individual talent in offensive areas, and should have enough to score a couple of goals themselves. We can envisage an entertaining score draw between two sides who look set to finish in mid-table this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 54.91%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawHeidenheim
54.91% (-0.679 -0.68) 21.63% (0.236 0.24) 23.45% (0.437 0.44)
Both teams to score 61.37% (-0.29199999999999 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.71% (-0.632 -0.63)37.28% (0.627 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.5% (-0.683 -0.68)59.49% (0.677 0.68)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.39% (-0.42400000000001 -0.42)13.6% (0.418 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.26% (-0.84099999999999 -0.84)40.74% (0.835 0.84)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.96% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)64.85% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 54.91%
    Heidenheim 23.45%
    Draw 21.63%
HoffenheimDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.118 0.12)
2-0 @ 7.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.21% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.22% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.6% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 54.91%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.94% (0.119 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.63%
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-1 @ 4.88% (0.149 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 23.45%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Heidenheim

Hoffenheim
54.2%
Draw
37.5%
Heidenheim
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Heidenheim
2-3
Hoffenheim
Beste (26'), Pieringer (58')
Dinkci (38')
Beier (77'), Kaderabek (80'), Kramaric (90' pen.)
Bulter (25'), Akpoguma (40'), Grillitsch (70'), Kaderabek (82'), Weghorst (90+5')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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