Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Mar 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei

Union Berlin
0 - 2
Dortmund

Haberer (75'), Vertessen (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Adeyemi (41'), Maatsen (90')
Ryerson (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 Hoffenheim
Sunday, February 25 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Borussia Dortmund

Dortmund have found things a little hard-going of late, and a surprise home defeat last week may have dented confidence slightly ahead of a fixture against in-form opponents. Union's early-season troubles have been left long in the past, and their steady rise up the table could continue this weekend with another positive result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
35.95% ( 0.01)	24.88% ( 0)	39.17% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.12% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.84% (

-0)

45.17% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.49% (

-0.01)

67.51% (

0.01)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.39% (

24.61% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.88%

59.12% (

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09% (

-0)

22.91% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.33% (

-0.01)

56.67% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 35.95%

Borussia Dortmund 39.17%

Draw 24.87%

Union Berlin	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 35.95%	1-1 @ 11.64% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87%	1-2 @ 8.58% 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.17%