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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
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Union Berlin
0 - 2
Dortmund


Haberer (75'), Vertessen (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeyemi (41'), Maatsen (90')
Ryerson (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 Hoffenheim
Sunday, February 25 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Borussia Dortmund

 Dortmund have found things a little hard-going of late, and a surprise home defeat last week may have dented confidence slightly ahead of a fixture against in-form opponents. Union's early-season troubles have been left long in the past, and their steady rise up the table could continue this weekend with another positive result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund
35.95% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 24.88% (0.0020000000000024 0) 39.17% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.12% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.84% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)45.17% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)67.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.61% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88%59.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)22.91% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)56.67% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 35.95%
    Borussia Dortmund 39.17%
    Draw 24.87%
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 35.95%
1-1 @ 11.64%
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.87%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-1 @ 8.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.12%
1-3 @ 4.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.17%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Dortmund

Union Berlin
19.4%
Draw
20.9%
Borussia Dortmund
59.7%
67
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Feb 13, 2022 2.30pm
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> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 4.30pm
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> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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