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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Olympiastadion Berlin
Wolfsburg

Union Berlin
1 - 0
Wolfsburg

Doekhi (45+25')
Roussillon (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kovac (45+26'), Arnold (90+1'), Pervan (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Union Berlin
Wednesday, February 7 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 Wolfsburg

 Without their home form, Union would certainly still be in the bottom three, and they will come into this clash as slight favourites to make it four home wins in a row. While it should be a close encounter, a fifth straight draw for Wolfsburg would be remarkable, but they have not enjoyed much success at this stadium, and that could continue here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
Union BerlinDrawWolfsburg
44.83% (0.098000000000006 0.1) 26.04% (0.114 0.11) 29.13% (-0.221 -0.22)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75% (-0.579 -0.58)52.25% (0.572 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.05% (-0.502 -0.5)73.95% (0.495 0.5)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.77% (-0.202 -0.2)23.23% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.86% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)57.14% (0.285 0.28)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)32.5% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.97% (-0.524 -0.52)69.02% (0.517 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 44.82%
    Wolfsburg 29.13%
    Draw 26.04%
Union BerlinDrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.089 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.82%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 8.49% (0.086 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.13%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg

Union Berlin
52.0%
Draw
16.0%
Wolfsburg
32.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Wolfsburg
2-1
Union Berlin
Wind (12'), Maehle (30')
Svanberg (78')
Gosens (28')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 24
Wolfsburg
1-1
Union Berlin
Wimmer (84')
Juranovic (72' pen.)
> Preview
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Round of 16
Union Berlin
2-1
Wolfsburg
Knoche (12'), Behrens (79')
Waldschmidt (5')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Union Berlin
2-0
Wolfsburg
Siebatcheu (54'), Becker (77')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Wolfsburg
1-0
Union Berlin
Awoniyi (24' og.)

Mohwald (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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