Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 10, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Olympiastadion Berlin

Union Berlin
1 - 0
Wolfsburg

Doekhi (45+25')
Roussillon (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kovac (45+26'), Arnold (90+1'), Pervan (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Union Berlin
Wednesday, February 7 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 Wolfsburg

Without their home form, Union would certainly still be in the bottom three, and they will come into this clash as slight favourites to make it four home wins in a row. While it should be a close encounter, a fifth straight draw for Wolfsburg would be remarkable, but they have not enjoyed much success at this stadium, and that could continue here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Wolfsburg
44.83% ( 0.1)	26.04% ( 0.11)	29.13% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 51.82% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.75% (

-0.58)

52.25% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.05% (

-0.5)

73.95% (

0.5)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.77% (

-0.2)

23.23% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.86% (

-0.29)

57.14% (

0.28)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.5% (

-0.47)

32.5% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.97% (

-0.52)

69.02% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 44.82%

Wolfsburg 29.13%

Draw 26.04%

Union Berlin	Draw	Wolfsburg
1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 44.82%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.13%