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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Dec 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Koln logo

Union Berlin
2 - 0
FC Koln

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 FC Koln
Sunday, December 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 1-0 FC Koln

Union have shown more promising signs under Bjelica, and they will want to quickly get over their woeful result at the weekend against a side they have a good recent record over. Koln have not beaten Union since a second-tier encounter in 2014, and their current woes in front of goal suggest they may struggle to get anything here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawFC Koln
46.66% (0.529 0.53) 25.11% (-0.02 -0.02) 28.23% (-0.508 -0.51)
Both teams to score 54.2% (-0.279 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.12% (-0.207 -0.21)48.88% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02% (-0.188 -0.19)70.98% (0.188 0.19)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.02% (0.145 0.14)20.98% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.26% (0.228 0.23)53.74% (-0.228 -0.23)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58% (-0.482 -0.48)31.42% (0.48 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2% (-0.565 -0.56)67.79% (0.56399999999999 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 46.66%
    FC Koln 28.23%
    Draw 25.1%
Union BerlinDrawFC Koln
1-0 @ 10.29% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.18% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.66%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 28.23%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs FC Koln

Union Berlin
58.0%
Draw
26.0%
FC Koln
16.0%
50
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 2.30pm
Sep 11, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 1, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 28
Union Berlin
1-0
FC Koln
Awoniyi (49')
Jaeckel (5'), Becker (42'), Trimmel (55')

Ehizibue (13'), Hubers (62'), Thielmann (75')
Nov 7, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 11
FC Koln
2-2
Union Berlin
Modeste (7', 86')
Modeste (17'), Duda (54')
Ryerson (9'), Promel (45+1')
Baumgartl (16'), Luthe (18')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Union Berlin
2-1
FC Koln
Kruse (48' pen.), Trimmel (67')
Musa (32'), Andrich (88')
Duda (45+2' pen.)
Horn (11'), Ozcan (81'), Skhiri (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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