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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Dec 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
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Union Berlin
2 - 0
FC Koln

Hollerbach (55'), Datro Fofana (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 FC Koln
Sunday, December 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 1-0 FC Koln

 Union have shown more promising signs under Bjelica, and they will want to quickly get over their woeful result at the weekend against a side they have a good recent record over. Koln have not beaten Union since a second-tier encounter in 2014, and their current woes in front of goal suggest they may struggle to get anything here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawFC Koln
46.66% (0.529 0.53) 25.11% (-0.02 -0.02) 28.23% (-0.508 -0.51)
Both teams to score 54.2% (-0.279 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.12% (-0.207 -0.21)48.88% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02% (-0.188 -0.19)70.98% (0.188 0.19)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.02% (0.145 0.14)20.98% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.26% (0.228 0.23)53.74% (-0.228 -0.23)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58% (-0.482 -0.48)31.42% (0.48 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2% (-0.565 -0.56)67.79% (0.56399999999999 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 46.66%
    FC Koln 28.23%
    Draw 25.1%
Union BerlinDrawFC Koln
1-0 @ 10.29% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.18% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.66%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 28.23%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs FC Koln

Union Berlin
58.0%
Draw
26.0%
FC Koln
16.0%
50
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Union Berlin
0-0
FC Koln
> Preview
Sep 11, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
FC Koln
0-1
Union Berlin
Hubers (4' og.)
> Preview
Apr 1, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 28
Union Berlin
1-0
FC Koln
Awoniyi (49')
Jaeckel (5'), Becker (42'), Trimmel (55')

Ehizibue (13'), Hubers (62'), Thielmann (75')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 11
FC Koln
2-2
Union Berlin
Modeste (7', 86')
Modeste (17'), Duda (54')
Ryerson (9'), Promel (45+1')
Baumgartl (16'), Luthe (18')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Union Berlin
2-1
FC Koln
Kruse (48' pen.), Trimmel (67')
Musa (32'), Andrich (88')
Duda (45+2' pen.)
Horn (11'), Ozcan (81'), Skhiri (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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