Although Gladbach have massively improved in recent weeks, they have only won one of six away games in the Bundesliga so far this season. On the flipside, Union Berlin have not tasted victory since late August.
However, Die Eisernen have avoided defeat in three of their last four outings, and they will be desperate to deliver a victory for their new manager. We can envisage a share of the spoils, which would leave the hosts bottom of the table, but heading in the right direction once again.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
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