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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 9, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Union Berlin
3 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Volland (23' pen.), Hollerbach (50'), Kaufmann (75')
Juranovic (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Plea (77')
Scally (3'), Weigl (33'), Plea (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Union Berlin
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Although Gladbach have massively improved in recent weeks, they have only won one of six away games in the Bundesliga so far this season. On the flipside, Union Berlin have not tasted victory since late August. However, Die Eisernen have avoided defeat in three of their last four outings, and they will be desperate to deliver a victory for their new manager. We can envisage a share of the spoils, which would leave the hosts bottom of the table, but heading in the right direction once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
48.9% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 23.26%27.84% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 60.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)40.92% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.31% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06% (0.0019999999999953 0)16.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.98% (0.0019999999999953 0)47.02%
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.58% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)63.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 48.9%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 27.84%
    Draw 23.26%
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.3% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.62%
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 48.9%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.67%
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.02%
0-2 @ 3.88%
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.84%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Borussia M'bach

Union Berlin
36.6%
Draw
17.1%
Borussia Monchengladbach
46.3%
41
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 6.30pm
Oct 30, 2022 2.30pm
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Borussia M'bach
1-2
Union Berlin
Kone (40')
Friedrich (28')
Kruse (18' pen., 84')
Promel (3'), Knoche (66')
Aug 29, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Union Berlin
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Knoche (31')
Schlotterbeck (71')
Plea (59')
Kramer (8'), Rose (36'), Zakaria (45'), Neuhaus (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Freiburg126241616020
7Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
8Wolfsburg125342519618
9Stuttgart124532321217
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232


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