We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 Freiburg
Werder Bremen will be brimming with confidence ahead of this match following a historic victory over Bayern Munich last week and having avoided defeat in their last five league games. However, despite their uptick in form, they now face a side that they have not beaten in their last five attempts and are in the midst of the race for a place in Europe next season.
This looks like a very level match on paper, and we feel there will be nothing to split these two at the final whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.